Transportation Portfolio Transportation Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

FSRFX Fund  USD 113.63  0.97  0.85%   
The entity has a beta of 1.16, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Transportation Portfolio will likely underperform.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Transportation Portfolio Transportation are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak technical and fundamental indicators, Transportation Portfolio may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026.
...more
Expense Ratio Date29th of April 2025
Expense Ratio0.6900
  

Transportation Portfolio Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  10,581  in Transportation Portfolio Transportation on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  782.00  from holding Transportation Portfolio Transportation or generate 7.39% return on investment over 90 days. Transportation Portfolio Transportation is currently producing 0.1233% returns and takes up 1.1368% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 10% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Transportation, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Transportation Portfolio is expected to generate 1.52 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.52 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Transportation Portfolio Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
113.63
Please note that Transportation Portfolio's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Transportation Portfolio has a current Real Value of $115.12 per share. The regular price of the fund is $113.63. We determine the value of Transportation Portfolio from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Transportation Portfolio is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Transportation Mutual Fund. However, Transportation Portfolio's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  113.63 Real  115.12 Hype  114.6 Naive  113.18
The intrinsic value of Transportation Portfolio's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Transportation Portfolio's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
113.99
Downside
115.12
Real Value
116.25
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Transportation Portfolio Transportation helps investors to forecast how Transportation mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Transportation Portfolio more accurately as focusing exclusively on Transportation Portfolio's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
110.51113.65116.78
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
113.47114.60115.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
112.05113.18114.31
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Transportation Portfolio Transportation extending back to June 18, 1991. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Transportation Portfolio stands at 113.63, as last reported on the 31st of January, with the highest price reaching 113.63 and the lowest price hitting 113.63 during the day.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Transportation Portfolio Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Transportation Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 113.63 90 days 113.63 
about 16.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Transportation Portfolio to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 16.87 (This Transportation Portfolio Transportation probability density function shows the probability of Transportation Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.16 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Transportation Portfolio will likely underperform. Additionally Transportation Portfolio Transportation has an alpha of 0.0963, implying that it can generate a 0.0963 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Transportation Portfolio Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Transportation Portfolio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Transportation Portfolio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
113.47114.60115.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
113.99115.12116.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
112.05113.18114.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
110.51113.65116.78
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Transportation Portfolio. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Transportation Portfolio's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Transportation Portfolio's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Transportation Portfolio.

Transportation Portfolio Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Transportation Portfolio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Transportation Portfolio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Transportation Portfolio Transportation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Transportation Portfolio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.16
σ
Overall volatility
4.44
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Transportation Portfolio Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Transportation Portfolio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Transportation Portfolio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 97.41% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Transportation Portfolio Fundamentals Growth

Transportation Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Transportation Portfolio, and Transportation Portfolio fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Transportation Mutual Fund performance.

About Transportation Portfolio Performance

Evaluating Transportation Portfolio's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Transportation Portfolio has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Transportation Portfolio has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund primarily invests in common stocks. It normally invests at least 80 percent of assets in securities of companies principally engaged in providing transportation services or companies principally engaged in the design, manufacture, distribution, or sale of transportation equipment. The fund invests in domestic and foreign issuers. It uses fundamental analysis of factors such as each issuers financial condition and industry position, as well as market and economic conditions to select investments. The fund is non-diversified.

Things to note about Transportation Portfolio performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Transportation Portfolio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Transportation Portfolio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 97.41% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Evaluating Transportation Portfolio's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Transportation Portfolio's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Transportation Portfolio's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Transportation Portfolio's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Transportation Portfolio's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Transportation Portfolio's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Transportation Portfolio's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Transportation Portfolio's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Transportation Portfolio's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Transportation Portfolio's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Transportation Portfolio's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Transportation Mutual Fund

Transportation Portfolio financial ratios help investors to determine whether Transportation Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Transportation with respect to the benefits of owning Transportation Portfolio security.
Sign In To Macroaxis
Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules
FinTech Suite
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities